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This game will be played in Annapolis Maryland so big advantage to the Terps here even though Marshall is not far away either. Before we look into the stats I like to look into strength of schedule and conference strength of schedule. One thing we are seeing early in the bowls is the fact that the non major bowl conferences are not as strong as in years past. Marshall is ranked 98th in SOS with their toughest game being Virginia Tech on the road an 8 point loss while Maryland won at Virginia Tech late in the year. Maryland is 66th in strength of schedule but they play in a major conference and had to face the likes of Clemson and Florida State. Meanwhile Conference USA went 9-54 vs. the top 75 teams this season.
Looking at this Maryland team you are going to see a ton of injuries and an inconsistent offense with a defense that's on the field for too long. However, down the stretch Randy Edsall changed his game plan to a run first approaching running the ball 5% more and it produced 2 wins in the final 3 games. In fact when Maryland runs for more than 100 yards they are 7-0 this year. Marshall has issues stopping the run and are under sized up front making it difficult to beat teams like Maryland. Marshall faced 3 of the worst running teams this year ranked 121, 123 and 125th in ypc which have skewed their stats, but they still allowed 6 teams to run for 184+ and 5 to average over 5 ypc. Maryland has a very similar offense to what Rice ran and gave Marshall's over rated defense issues in the CUSA championship game. They have a very athletic QB in CJ Brown who is the do all in this game. Brown will run the ball and his RB will have a big game too.
When Maryland is on defense they'll need to get a pass rush because Rakeem Cato is a very under rated QB and decision maker, but when he's under pressure he's just not the same. Maryland is athletic and talented in the front 7 and probably the strength of this team which makes this a very bad match up for them. Maryland is 11th in sack % and their 3-4 defense will give Marshall issues as they are very sound on 3rd down and in the red zone. I think Maryland gets the early lead with their running game and dominate time of possession which will only make it harder for Marshall to move the ball.
Where to find Freddy?